2-year US-Japan differential (unhedged)
The front end of the same comparison, where the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Japan pricing different paths shows up first. It is the nearest thing this warehouse holds to the funding leg of a currency hedge, and it is not the hedge cost: the hedge cost is this differential plus the cross-currency basis, and the basis is missing. That matters most when it matters most, because the basis is the term that blows out when dollar funding gets scarce. Read this as the policy gap, and read nothing about a hedged return into it.
- Latest
- 284.10 bp
- As of
- 1 Oct 2026
- Standard deviations
- 1.65
- Percentile
- 96th percentile
30 days to 4 Oct 2026 · 254.00 bp to 295.80 bp