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10-year realised volatility

How far the ten-year yield has actually moved over the trailing month, in annualised basis points. This is the substitute for a licensed implied volatility index, and the difference is the point: implied volatility is the price the options market puts on movement that has not happened, so it gaps higher on the morning of a shock while this series only registers the shock after it has passed through the window. Read it as a description of the month behind, and expect it to be late at a turn.

Latest
88.93 bp
As of
1 Oct 2026
Standard deviations
2.08
Percentile
97th percentile

30 days to 4 Oct 2026 · 58.28 bp to 90.13 bp

The archive behind this

This page shows the last 30 days. 10-year realised volatility has 6,670 readings in the warehouse, back to 2 Feb 2000. A plan opens the rest of it, with CSV export and the analyst.

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Source

QuantNow Derived Research

Root mean square of the daily change in the ten-year constant maturity yield over 21 sessions, in basis points, annualised by the square root of 252. The benchmark maturity, and the leg most of the duration risk in the market is measured against.

Informational research only. Nothing here is personalised investment advice.